In this space, I rank players for the next five-plus seasons, serving as an effective price guide for those seeking to improve rosters during the offseason or planning to start a dynasty league from scratch beginning in 2023. Or rather, Ill take him on one mixed league team if the price is low enough, and stay far away in an AL league. Various injuries have taken him a down a couple of pegs to an ADP of 89, and I sure like the idea of having two outfielders at that point. The hype on Cruz last spring was pretty intense, no doubt pushing his ADP beyond this point in keeper leagues. Plenty of factors go into these rankings, including age, recent performance, expected performance (both short and long-term), injury concerns, and plenty more. $16, Harrison Bader, NYY Batting ninth negates most of the value derived from the Yankees lineup, and batting ahead of Aaron Judge negates some of his speed. All of them should be in the majors for a substantial portion of the 2023 season. And, by the way, if thats the plan, then Francisco lvarez starts in the minors. Reserve B, Pavin Smith, AZ Disappointing but hes not giving up, slashing .292/.462/.458 in the Dominican Winter League. Stone enjoyed a tremendous three-level season, posting a minor league-best 1.48 ERA at High-, Double-, and Triple-A in a total of 122 innings. Another team duo, the no. I realize that Coors Field makes hitters look worse on the road than they really are, but Hilliards 39% career road Ks can come way down and still hurt. If that gets him fine, if it doesnt, which it probably wont, thats also fine. Still a good glove wherever he plays, but playing him at shortstop is tempting the Peter Principle. Hunter Renfroe, LAA I keep harping on the streakiness of high-K/high-FB hitters, so I must admit when a hitter contradicts it. Played through a hip flexor injury that likely sapped some power, but a .338 slug is a long ways from assistance. It is worth familiarizing yourself with them so you are ready to bid on the ones who arent draftable in your particular league. This is a Coors park effect, of course, but there he still is, and hitting in a prime lineup slot. His 98.5 mph fastball and upper-80s plus-plus slider were all he needed for his 2022 success, but if the show-me changeup doesnt develop, there could be some volatility for the 24-year-old flamethrower. A true switch-hitter, no problem there, with good speed that could be put to better use. Read more of our articles here. He isnt exactly cheap in winter drafts, either, so he has to deliver to be worth going as a Top 60 outfielder. Im going to project him as a near full-timer. Think of all the people who have ever lived. He leaned on his two fastballs and premium slider while flashing a changeup and curveball. Lots of strikeouts for Cal in his 23 games for Oakland. Between Clase and Diaz, I'd go the other way in a redraft league, but in a keeper format, I'll give the edge to the guy four years Diaz's youth. Brennans chance to at least platoon (bats left) is really good, and hes almost completely unhyped. The 65th percentile is fast enough to steal 30 bases if he wants to, but he may stop at 10. He had a 0.12 BB/K across his entire 2022 after a 0.45 mark in 2019-21 and hes confident he can get back on track in his first full big league season. $4. He wasnt even very good, but the World Series announcers made it sound like the shades of Johnny Callison and Richie Ashburn melded in the ether above the Liberty Bell, and descended on the ballpark to seize destiny from the slavering jaws of the overdog. Part 8 explains advanced statistics available to the fantasy baseball manager and how to apply them. My general rule on first-year international hitters is to start with them as average hitters ($11) and adjust a few bucks up or down, individually as more becomes known. Bobby Miller & Gavin Stone | RHPs, LAD | 480, 510 ADP. . Nootbaar is passive, and normally I frown when a hitter swings at only 56% of the strikes he sees, but then I saw his slash when he swung at the first pitch: .165/.195/.241. Between that and his high-risk/high-reward profile, he slots a bit behind Henderson and Carroll. Great defense keeps him in the league, but he played better for Tampa and still his OPS was .660. The bottom line for Yoshida could end up looking similar to new teammate Alex Verdugo or maybe closer to Justin Chois comp of Andrew Benintendi (sans the speed, as Yoshida had just 4 SB/600 PA). Senga did a brilliant job limiting hits (6.4 per 9) and missed plenty of bats with a mid-90s fastball and the fabled ghost forkball headlining his arsenal. Power looks steady at B+. I hope hes grateful. Reserve A, Peyton Burdick, MIA I wonder if soon well be calling these Three True Outcome hitters old school. A moot question until Burdick cuts his Ks. He's the most likely first-round pick other than Julio Rodriguez to be kept for something less, and he's well worth it, being nearly as strong as Aaron Judge but also five years younger. Here are some of the other things to consider: Your league's format itself: Is your dynasty league a traditional roto or points-based league? As for Grisham, he can in theory solve his problem rather easily, with potentially spectacular results as pitchers throw get-me-over first-pitch meatballs and Grisham deposits them in the seats. He may not be able to hit in the majors but has shown extra-base pop in the minors, takes his walks (10.3%) and he stole 52 bases in 129 games at the two higher levels, and hes 23. Gavin Williams | RHP, CLE | 660 ADP The oft-injured righty had a wonderful pro debut (1.96 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 24% K in 115 IP at A+/AA) and resides in the pitching factory that is the Guardians organization. He has three plus pitches that generate plenty of punchouts, with a 31% K rate in his 230 minor league innings and 28% during his 20-inning big league debut last year. If I see talk about ONeill changing his training routine, Ill take it seriously, but something along those lines is mandatory. . Bats left, has some pop, so the Dodgers may find a way. Here I think its safe to add a few. Feb 28, 2023. In the past 20 years or so theyve scored once with a first-round hitter Christian Yelich. The power that appeared to be developing age 26 so theres not a lot of time left glaringly did not translate. Still has a chance, but its now or, one suspects, never. Perez turns 20 just five days after Painter and is also in contention for baseballs best pitching prospect, but he isnt actively competing for a spot on the Marlins roster in camp and feels like a summer call-up at the soonest. The latter almost works against him for 2023, though, as hes buried on the list of candidates right now and still must figure out his changeup. The truth is every person's keeper situation is unique to him -- different rules, different costs, different needs, different variables all around. 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings: Top picks by position, 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings: Best sleepers, 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings: Top breakouts, sleepers. Definitely worth an eye, and still young at 22. Big power, and even bigger strikeouts that even Coors did not help. Actually, Aaron Judge is highly likely to beat Julio in HRs but other than that I could be wrong, or I could be right but maybe not this year, but thats the percentage play as I see it. As a pure 80-grade runner, he could be a complete game changer on the basepaths even if the .240 ISO we saw in his debut doesnt maintain throughout a full season. The walks dont compensate when you hit .183 for three years. As a well-above average hitter, I think its safe to bid him as a little better than average. While RosterResource has Wesneski ticketed for Triple-A to start the year, he is firmly in the no. Perhaps hell platoon in Pittsburgh or Detroit. PFA, Drew Waters, KC 27.5% Ks in the minors are too many for a power hitter, and way too many for a speedster. He smashed 28 HR and stole 47 bases in 513 plate appearances across High- and Double-A but did so with a 31% K rate and just an 8% BB rate. Now 33, and the past two years have yielded .211/.322/.317. That doesn't mean it can't guide you at all, but you have to be clever enough to tailor it to your own specific circumstances. Action. One more chance. Also played 15 games at first base. 2 Alabama erases 17-point deficit, wins SEC, Trade Lamar? Farm teams: Does your league include minor league/farm-team slots and how are these players factored into the keeper system? PFA, Richie Palacios, CLE Not too far down the depth chart, he should show up and steal some bases. He was good enough as a rookie to trust he'll at least be of some use in 2023, and with his pedigree, there's a chance this discount pays off for years to come. My brain refuses to accept Bryce Elder as a righty, too, and I even watched him regularly at Texas during his college days. And now, when hes washed up, he gets an $18M golden parachute. You can even look down your nose at me, wallowing in his filth should I decide the price is right. Transfer Talk: Newcastle star Bruno Guimaraes on Real Madrid's radar, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Everything you need to know about F1's 2023 season, F1 season preview: Who's hot and who's not. There remains the more likely possibility that Vierling uses those hard hits to a BA advantage. $5. PFA, Canaan Smith-Njigba, PIT Should have more power than he has shown, for which reason hes not a top prospect. Its sounds like a no-brainer, but if you relentlessly build your hitting around this principle you are probably going to win (works for pitchers too). The 65th percentile is fast enough to steal 30 bases if he wants to, but he may stop at 10. Also qualifies at first base, and I wont be ashamed to use him there. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: fantasynews | arena: mlb | pageType: stories | $9, Avisal Garca, MIA What a senseless signing, a cheap team throwing away money. But he sure is good at real baseball. FIP is a great stat for evaluating pitchers for fantasy baseball to see if they are due for a correction. Bats left, and opportunities abound in Detroit. Second round would be fine. He now has a 28% K rate in 214 Triple-A innings and while weve only seen a 23% mark in his 49 big league innings, it has come with a nice 13% SwStr rate. Bid your faves to the moon if you like, just dont pay $10 for Joey Wendle. Get the latest fantasy baseball dynasty rankings for your leagues. Morris is a repeat entrant this year and I could start his profile the exact same way given the similarities: Morris didnt get going until July due to shoulder soreness, but he was electric upon returning, with a blistering 41% K-BB rate in 21 minor league innings ahead of his September call-up. Whether you've been in a league for 10 years or are just about to draft your dynasty start-up, everyone loves rankings. 2022 fantasy baseball rankings and projections for redraft and dynasty leagues, compiled from the best and most-accurate sources in the industry. Stole his first base on May 4 and his second on August 12 (ouch!). Now age 25, and they gave him a long look last year, have to figure that they will again. Safer than he looks in NL leagues, safer from disaster that is. $18, Oscar Gonzalez, CLE Free-swinger with power, so 19.6% Ks are a pleasant surprise, improving as he went, too. His swing rate was the third-lowest among 130 qualifiers, as were his in-zone swings. Like his teammate Guerrero, Bichette is coming off a down season that makes him less than a slam-dunk first-rounder in redraft, but the heights he's already achieved at such a young age should have you clinging to him like grim death in a keeper league. Colas stateside debut saw him rip through High- and Double-A, capped with a nice week a Triple-A. All Rights Reserved. Very likely to get an early call-up. Peace through hatred. But Im still not coughing up in a league where finding decent replacement PAs is a problem. Only catastrophe will keep him from playing, so bid him up. Daten ber Ihr Gert und Ihre Internetverbindung, wie Ihre IP-Adresse, Browsing- und Suchaktivitten bei der Nutzung von Yahoo Websites und -Apps. $36. The Twins sat him regularly in an attempt to keep him healthy and that didnt work either. Hes a good reserve pick in mixed leagues if you are speed-challenged, and even if not, as long as hes not an overload. Both his Sprint Speed (78th%) and SB time to second base (3.65 seconds) suggest that 30 bags are in reach, but these things are will rather than skill. For now, keep tabs on him and be prepared to pick him up as he nears his return sometime in the early summer. Consider this their mention as opposed to a formal inclusion in the upcoming HM section. You probably have your catcher for the next several here given the extent of the discount and the durability of the hitting profile, but Kirk may not have the power to measure up as a full-time DH if he ultimately winds up there. Tyler ONeill, STL Just about off limits in NL leagues too much chance of disappearing PAs. Apparently the plan is to play Kiermaier in center and move Springer to right. $7, Wil Myers, CIN Still dangerous against a lefty and still a good glove in right field. $26, Randy Arozarena, TB You wonder how long the Rays will let him lead the league in Caught Stealings its been two years in a row so expecting another 32 bags seems optimistic. To get. If you land him, you hope hes leading the majors in home runs after a month, then trade him for 50 cents on the dollar. Hes therefore safe for about 18 SBs, and 27 are a whole lot more likely than nine. Better counts equates to better hitting. Fast-forward to today - Maeda is healthy, sitting 90/91 mph in his first spring . The biggest question mark for me is the power. Reserve B. Jo Adell, LAA Their name is legion, baseball players whose value was greatest as prospects. 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